Saturday 20 December 2014

KSE Ltd ( Good potential Multibagger )

Saturday 20 December 2014



KSE is a 50-year-old company that makes a range of livestock feed in high volumes, coconut oil from coconut oil cake and refined edible oil. It is the largest manufacturer of cattle feed in India. As forward integration, in 2000, KSE entered milk procurement, processing and marketing of milk and milk products selling under the name of KS PAAL, KS ghee, KS curd and butter milk which became popular in Trichur, Ernakulam, Malappuram and Alleppey districts by 2002. In 2008, it started ice-cream production in Tamil Nadu. In 2010, KSE started ice-cream production in Vedagiri Kottayam (Kerala) to cater for the Kerala market.




In a normal year, almost 62% of the company’s profits come from the cattle feed business, 29% from copra processing and solvent extraction business and about 9% from dairy business. For the quarter ended 30 September 2014, KSE’s net sales were Rs234.40 crore (Rs199.03 crore) and the net profit was Rs17.49 crore (Rs1.67 crore). For the year ended March 2014, net sales were Rs807.20 crore (Rs698.25 crore) and net profit was Rs15.37 crore (Rs4.65 crore).

According to KSE, its strengths include nearly half a century of experience, market leadership, consistent quality, wide distribution network and financial strength. The threats, as it sees, are possible entry of multinationals, subsidy on animal feed being granted by government, indirect price control by government over milk, switching of crop by farmers from oil seeds and grains, severe shortage of manual labour (cattle feed and solvent extraction are highly labour-intensive) and import of cheaper oils for industrial consumption.



Over the past five quarters, the average growth in sales was 12% and the growth in average operating profit was 172%. The average operating margin is 4%. The debt-equity ratio is 0.34. Cash earnings per share were Rs59.78. The book value of the share is Rs150.84. However, income and profits are volatile quarter-on-quarter.
 
The dividend distributed for FY13-14 was a golden jubilee dividend of 200%; in the previous two years, the dividend distributed was 100% and 110%. The share price rose from a 52-week low of Rs181.15 on 15 January 2014 to a 52-week high of Rs 585.00 on 21 November 2014, thanks to a large jump in profit in the September quarter. The share was trading at a price of around Rs 570.00 on 19 December 2014.

The shareholding pattern for KSE includes 32.53% with the promoters and 67.47% with the retail investors and general public. Despite the recent run-up, the valuation is low.



The market-capitalisation is 0.15 times sales and 2.91 times operating profit, based on trailing four quarter results ending September 2014. For FY13-14, the return on net worth was 32% and the return on capital employed was 39%. The stock is worth buying for the long term, even though profits may be uneven and stock price may disappoint, in the short run.




Note: This share is strictly for long term purpose. Do not expect any short term fireworks. The volumes are very low because of  100% DELIVERABLES.

Sources: Annual report, Money control & Crisil. 

17 comments:

Anonymous said...

Sir Awesome calls on Jsw energy, Motherson sumi and dabur. Amazing returns :D Im still holding hexaware.

Thank you very much!

Growth Investor & Trader said...

Hexaware stop loss hit. Keep STRICT SL. There are plenty of other opportunities in the market. In case you still holding, Next SL at 199.

Vaibhav R said...

I recenly started to follow ur blog , can u recommend me share that would give me 30 bagger in 20 years ?

Growth Investor & Trader said...

Cant say for 20 years, but 5-10 years which im convinced about

Kitex garments, Gati, Tci, Gruh Finance, Capital first, Godrej consumer, Kesar Terminals, KSE, Asian Paints, Premier explosives, Shilpa Medicare. Atul Auto.

Shares which will give you returns till your retirement - Wipro, Gillette India, 3M india, Eicher Motors, Adani ports, Hdfc.

Unknown said...

how do u look bosch in your charts?

Growth Investor & Trader said...

Correction phase has started.

Vaibhav R said...

Thank you sir : )

Anonymous said...

Hi Pranab, what are your views on R systems international?

Growth Investor & Trader said...

Already Recommended R systems couple of weeks back. Check the blog history.

Anonymous said...

sir ur views on required on Lumax Industries
Lumax Auto Technologies both are having negative working capital

is this right
Negative Working Capital essentially means that the company is able to pre-sell its products and gets a decent Credit from its Supplierswhich help it to grow its Business without any Capital requirements.

Growth Investor & Trader said...

Not tracking lumax.

Unknown said...

What about jindal stainless ( jsl )

Saju said...

Recently, i came across your blog, sir i really love your blog and the stock selection are really awesome. I hold sjvn limited which I accumulate every month below my average buy price and this is what i look as an investment for retirement. I wanted to ask you u mentioned few stocks for 5 to 10 years down the line so is SJVN not a better bet.

Growth Investor & Trader said...

I don't really track SJVN, Sure has great potential to be a multibagger but as a 10-20 bagger not entirely convinced at this point. Lets see how its performs for the next few quarters. The average growth for last 5 years has been less then 2%.

Unknown said...

Hi,

I'm planning to buy intl Combustion shares. Is this right time to buy at current level 336 ? or do you want me to wait for further fall.

Thanks,

ashok

Growth Investor & Trader said...

Wait for declines.

raj said...

what are your views on R S Software

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